The daily read from the close of 3 Apr 2025
Computed on the morning of 4 Apr 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 756 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -0.9% vs Nifty (1 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -2.0% (4 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -1.4%.
The read from the close of 3 Apr 2025 · Quarter
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 756
TATACONSUM
Tata Consumer Products Ltd. · FMCG
▲ Look at
96.3
score /100rank 1 of 756
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,071.00close 3 Apr
Upside reference₹1,103.47+3.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,039.22-3.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+14.0% over three months · +17.1% vs Nifty · +20.9% vs its sector · 100% of its three-month range · after results +7.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +6.1% (+2.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 756
UPL
UPL Ltd.
▲ Look at
94.4
score /100rank 2 of 756
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹651.25close 3 Apr
Upside reference₹678.49+4.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹631.69-3.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+23.0% over three months · +26.1% vs Nifty · 95% of its three-month range · after results +7.0% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +3.3% (-0.7% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 756
NAVINFLUOR
Navin Fluorine International Ltd.
▲ Look at
94.3
score /100rank 3 of 756
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹4,193.40close 3 Apr
Upside reference₹4,334.47+3.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹4,069.32-3.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+24.8% over three months · +28.0% vs Nifty · 94% of its three-month range · after results +4.1% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +1.9% (-2.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 756
SRF
SRF Ltd.
▲ Look at
94.1
score /100rank 4 of 756
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,901.20close 3 Apr
Upside reference₹3,030.91+4.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,821.07-2.8% · its typical 10-session fall
+27.0% over three months · +30.1% vs Nifty · 84% of its three-month range · after results +7.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +3.9% (-0.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 756
SHREECEM
Shree Cement Ltd. · INFRASTRUCTURE
▲ Look at
93.2
score /100rank 5 of 756
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹30,902.00close 3 Apr
Upside reference₹32,011.00+3.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹29,977.41-3.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+18.4% over three months · +21.6% vs Nifty · +20.1% vs its sector · 100% of its three-month range · after results +7.8% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +0.0% (-3.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 756 of 756
SONATSOFTW
Sonata Software Ltd. · IT
▼ Stay away
5.7
score /100rank 756 of 756
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹341.20close 3 Apr
Upside reference₹363.29+6.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹319.46-6.4% · its typical 10-session fall
-45.7% over three months · -42.6% vs Nifty · -25.2% vs its sector · 0% of its three-month range · after results -21.9% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -5.9% (-9.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 755 of 756
NETWEB
Netweb Technologies India Ltd. · IT
▼ Stay away
6.8
score /100rank 755 of 756
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,529.65close 3 Apr
Upside reference₹1,614.39+5.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,447.66-5.4% · its typical 10-session fall
-46.1% over three months · -43.0% vs Nifty · -25.6% vs its sector · 13% of its three-month range · after results -28.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -1.9% (-5.9% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 754 of 756
JBMA
JBM Auto Ltd. · AUTO
▼ Stay away
7.1
score /100rank 754 of 756
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹619.90close 3 Apr
Upside reference₹650.01+4.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹579.48-6.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-60.7% over three months · -57.6% vs Nifty · -48.9% vs its sector · 12% of its three-month range · after results -54.5% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: +13.2% (+9.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 753 of 756
MANYAVAR
Vedant Fashions Limited
▼ Stay away
8.1
score /100rank 753 of 756
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹787.15close 3 Apr
Upside reference₹821.45+4.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹748.26-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-37.4% over three months · -34.3% vs Nifty · 7% of its three-month range · after results -13.0% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +2.3% (-1.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 752 of 756
KEC
Kec International Ltd. · INFRASTRUCTURE
▼ Stay away
8.5
score /100rank 752 of 756
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹726.40close 3 Apr
Upside reference₹772.40+6.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹690.06-5.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-40.6% over three months · -37.5% vs Nifty · -39.0% vs its sector · 10% of its three-month range · after results -8.0% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +2.0% (-1.9% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| TATACONSUMTata Consumer Products Ltd. | +3.1% | +2.5% | +3.0% | +5.4% | +4.3% | +2.7% | +2.5%▲ | +2.0%▲ | +0.9%▲ | +2.2%▲ |
| UPLUPL Ltd. | -0.6% | -1.0% | -2.6% | -2.0% | -0.1% | +0.7% | +0.5% | -1.8% | -0.7% | -0.7% |
| NAVINFLUORNavin Fluorine International Ltd. | -1.4% | -2.8% | -5.1% | -1.4% | -0.4% | -0.7% | +1.0% | -1.3% | -3.3% | -2.0% |
| SRFSRF Ltd. | -0.1% | -1.7% | -1.8% | -1.7% | +3.4% | +3.3% | +2.3% | +0.5% | +0.7% | -0.0% |
| SHREECEMShree Cement Ltd. | +0.8% | +1.0% | +1.6% | +1.9% | -0.8% | +0.4% | -1.1% | -2.3% | -2.9% | -3.9% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| SONATSOFTWSonata Software Ltd. | -4.3% | -7.1%▼ | -7.4%▼ | -4.7%▼ | -5.7%▼ | -2.6%▼ | -2.6%▼ | -10.4%▼ | -9.7%▼ | -9.8%▼ |
| NETWEBNetweb Technologies India Ltd. | -0.5% | -1.5%▼ | -1.4%▼ | -3.3%▼ | -2.1%▼ | -1.7%▼ | -1.5%▼ | -4.7%▼ | -5.6%▼ | -5.9%▼ |
| JBMAJBM Auto Ltd. | -0.7% | -0.5% | -0.2% | -1.6% | +1.5% | +0.5% | +11.3% | +10.4% | +10.3% | +9.3% |
| MANYAVARVedant Fashions Limited | -1.2% | +4.5% | +2.6% | +3.6% | +3.8% | +0.2% | -1.0% | -3.8% | -1.8% | -1.6% |
| KECKec International Ltd. | -3.6%▼ | -4.8%▼ | -5.4%▼ | -5.8%▼ | -7.3%▼ | -2.4%▼ | -1.2%▼ | -4.7%▼ | -4.2%▼ | -1.9%▼ |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 51% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 50% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 5/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 54% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | +2.4% | +1.5% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +3.3% | +2.5% | +0.0% | +2.0% | +1.1% | +1.1% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 3 Apr minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · every name
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, three months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | TATACONSUMTata Consumer Products Ltd. | 96.3 | 51% | ₹1,071.00 | +14.0% | +17.1% | +20.9% | 100% | +7.2% | +17.4 pp | +6.1% | +2.2% |
| 2 look at | UPLUPL Ltd. | 94.4 | 51% | ₹651.25 | +23.0% | +26.1% | — | 95% | +7.0% | +9.5 pp | +3.3% | -0.7% |
| 3 look at | NAVINFLUORNavin Fluorine International Ltd. | 94.3 | 51% | ₹4,193.40 | +24.8% | +28.0% | — | 94% | +4.1% | +12.4 pp | +1.9% | -2.0% |
| 4 look at | SRFSRF Ltd. | 94.1 | 51% | ₹2,901.20 | +27.0% | +30.1% | — | 84% | +7.2% | +12.3 pp | +3.9% | -0.0% |
| 5 look at | SHREECEMShree Cement Ltd. | 93.2 | 51% | ₹30,902.00 | +18.4% | +21.6% | +20.1% | 100% | +7.8% | +5.7 pp | +0.0% | -3.9% |
| 752 stay away | KECKec International Ltd. | 8.5 | 52% | ₹726.40 | -40.6% | -37.5% | -39.0% | 10% | -8.0% | -15.6 pp | +2.0% | -1.9% |
| 753 stay away | MANYAVARVedant Fashions Limited | 8.1 | 52% | ₹787.15 | -37.4% | -34.3% | — | 7% | -13.0% | -9.4 pp | +2.3% | -1.6% |
| 754 stay away | JBMAJBM Auto Ltd. | 7.1 | 52% | ₹619.90 | -60.7% | -57.6% | -48.9% | 12% | -54.5% | -0.9 pp | +13.2% | +9.3% |
| 755 stay away | NETWEBNetweb Technologies India Ltd. | 6.8 | 52% | ₹1,529.65 | -46.1% | -43.0% | -25.6% | 13% | -28.7% | -4.4 pp | -1.9% | -5.9% |
| 756 stay away | SONATSOFTWSonata Software Ltd. | 5.7 | 52% | ₹341.20 | -45.7% | -42.6% | -25.2% | 0% | -21.9% | -3.3 pp | -5.9% | -9.8% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over three months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.