The daily read from the close of 2 Apr 2025
Computed on the morning of 3 Apr 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 756 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -0.8% vs Nifty (2 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -2.8% (4 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -1.8%.
The read from the close of 2 Apr 2025 · Quarter
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 756
TATACONSUM
Tata Consumer Products Ltd. · FMCG
▲ Look at
96.3
score /100rank 1 of 756
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,062.70close 2 Apr
Upside reference₹1,094.60+3.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,030.88-3.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+14.3% over three months · +17.9% vs Nifty · +21.2% vs its sector · 100% of its three-month range · after results +7.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +5.5% (+2.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 756
SRF
SRF Ltd.
▲ Look at
96.2
score /100rank 2 of 756
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,981.60close 2 Apr
Upside reference₹3,115.41+4.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,900.53-2.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+34.0% over three months · +37.6% vs Nifty · 95% of its three-month range · after results +7.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +1.6% (-1.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 756
NAVINFLUOR
Navin Fluorine International Ltd.
▲ Look at
95.6
score /100rank 3 of 756
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹4,246.75close 2 Apr
Upside reference₹4,392.80+3.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹4,121.09-3.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+28.6% over three months · +32.2% vs Nifty · 99% of its three-month range · after results +4.1% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -0.8% (-4.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 756
UPL
UPL Ltd.
▲ Look at
95.6
score /100rank 4 of 756
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹654.45close 2 Apr
Upside reference₹681.83+4.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹634.80-3.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+28.5% over three months · +32.0% vs Nifty · 97% of its three-month range · after results +7.0% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +2.6% (-0.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 756
KOTAKBANK
Kotak Mahindra Bank Ltd. · BANK
▲ Look at
93.5
score /100rank 5 of 756
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,154.60close 2 Apr
Upside reference₹2,206.20+2.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,114.09-1.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+17.3% over three months · +20.8% vs Nifty · +17.8% vs its sector · 95% of its three-month range · after results +6.5% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +4.0% (+0.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 756 of 756
SONATSOFTW
Sonata Software Ltd. · IT
▼ Stay away
5.9
score /100rank 756 of 756
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹351.55close 2 Apr
Upside reference₹374.31+6.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹329.15-6.4% · its typical 10-session fall
-44.0% over three months · -40.5% vs Nifty · -25.8% vs its sector · 2% of its three-month range · after results -21.9% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -8.7% (-12.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 755 of 756
MANYAVAR
Vedant Fashions Limited
▼ Stay away
7.3
score /100rank 755 of 756
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹776.25close 2 Apr
Upside reference₹810.08+4.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹737.90-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-38.6% over three months · -35.0% vs Nifty · 5% of its three-month range · after results -13.0% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +3.4% (-0.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 754 of 756
NETWEB
Netweb Technologies India Ltd. · IT
▼ Stay away
7.4
score /100rank 754 of 756
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,549.40close 2 Apr
Upside reference₹1,636.48+5.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,466.35-5.4% · its typical 10-session fall
-46.2% over three months · -42.7% vs Nifty · -28.0% vs its sector · 14% of its three-month range · after results -28.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -3.1% (-6.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 753 of 756
JBMA
JBM Auto Ltd. · AUTO
▼ Stay away
7.5
score /100rank 753 of 756
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹611.90close 2 Apr
Upside reference₹641.44+4.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹572.04-6.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-61.4% over three months · -57.9% vs Nifty · -50.5% vs its sector · 11% of its three-month range · after results -54.5% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: +15.5% (+12.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 752 of 756
ZAGGLE
Zaggle Prepaid Ocean Services Limited
▼ Stay away
8.4
score /100rank 752 of 756
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹354.95close 2 Apr
Upside reference₹377.67+6.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹338.88-4.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-37.7% over three months · -34.2% vs Nifty · 13% of its three-month range · after results -20.8% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -4.3% (-7.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| TATACONSUMTata Consumer Products Ltd. | +1.1% | +4.2% | +3.6% | +4.1% | +6.5% | +5.5%▲ | +3.8%▲ | +3.6%▲ | +3.2%▲ | +2.1%▲ |
| SRFSRF Ltd. | -2.3% | -2.4% | -3.9% | -4.0% | -4.0% | +1.0% | +0.9% | -0.1% | -1.9% | -1.8% |
| NAVINFLUORNavin Fluorine International Ltd. | -0.9% | -2.3% | -3.6% | -6.0% | -2.3% | -1.3% | -1.6% | +0.1% | -2.3% | -4.2% |
| UPLUPL Ltd. | -0.1% | -0.7% | -1.1% | -2.7% | -2.1% | -0.2% | +0.6% | +0.3% | -2.0% | -0.8% |
| KOTAKBANKKotak Mahindra Bank Ltd. | -0.7% | +0.8% | -0.4% | -1.2% | -0.7% | +0.1% | -1.6% | -1.9% | -0.7% | +0.6%▲ |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| SONATSOFTWSonata Software Ltd. | -2.6% | -6.7%▼ | -9.3%▼ | -9.7%▼ | -7.1%▼ | -8.1%▼ | -5.1%▼ | -5.1%▼ | -12.7%▼ | -12.1%▼ |
| MANYAVARVedant Fashions Limited | +1.8% | +0.5% | +6.2% | +4.3% | +5.3% | +5.5% | +2.0% | +0.8% | -2.0% | -0.0% |
| NETWEBNetweb Technologies India Ltd. | -0.9% | -1.4% | -2.4%▼ | -2.3%▼ | -4.2%▼ | -3.0%▼ | -2.6%▼ | -2.4%▼ | -5.6%▼ | -6.5%▼ |
| JBMAJBM Auto Ltd. | +1.7% | +1.0% | +1.1% | +1.4% | -0.1% | +3.2% | +2.2% | +13.1% | +12.3% | +12.1% |
| ZAGGLEZaggle Prepaid Ocean Services Limited | +1.2% | -2.4% | -8.3%▼ | -7.4%▼ | -11.0%▼ | -7.4%▼ | -6.4%▼ | -6.6%▼ | -8.9%▼ | -7.7%▼ |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 1/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 51% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 49% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 54% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -0.8% | +1.7% | +1.4% | +0.8% | +2.9% | +3.0% | +2.4% | +0.5% | +2.7% | +2.0% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 2 Apr minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,860 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, three months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | TATACONSUMTata Consumer Products Ltd. | 96.3 | 51% | ₹1,062.70 | +14.3% | +17.9% | +21.2% | 100% | +7.2% | +17.1 pp | +5.5% | +2.1% |
| 2 look at | SRFSRF Ltd. | 96.2 | 51% | ₹2,981.60 | +34.0% | +37.6% | — | 95% | +7.2% | +12.6 pp | +1.6% | -1.8% |
| 3 look at | NAVINFLUORNavin Fluorine International Ltd. | 95.6 | 51% | ₹4,246.75 | +28.6% | +32.2% | — | 99% | +4.1% | +12.4 pp | -0.8% | -4.2% |
| 4 look at | UPLUPL Ltd. | 95.6 | 51% | ₹654.45 | +28.5% | +32.0% | — | 97% | +7.0% | +9.6 pp | +2.6% | -0.8% |
| 5 look at | KOTAKBANKKotak Mahindra Bank Ltd. | 93.5 | 51% | ₹2,154.60 | +17.3% | +20.8% | +17.8% | 95% | +6.5% | +7.8 pp | +4.0% | +0.6% |
| 752 stay away | ZAGGLEZaggle Prepaid Ocean Services Limited | 8.4 | 52% | ₹354.95 | -37.7% | -34.2% | — | 13% | -20.8% | -5.8 pp | -4.3% | -7.7% |
| 753 stay away | JBMAJBM Auto Ltd. | 7.5 | 52% | ₹611.90 | -61.4% | -57.9% | -50.5% | 11% | -54.5% | -0.5 pp | +15.5% | +12.1% |
| 754 stay away | NETWEBNetweb Technologies India Ltd. | 7.4 | 52% | ₹1,549.40 | -46.2% | -42.7% | -28.0% | 14% | -28.7% | -3.9 pp | -3.1% | -6.5% |
| 755 stay away | MANYAVARVedant Fashions Limited | 7.3 | 52% | ₹776.25 | -38.6% | -35.0% | — | 5% | -13.0% | -8.7 pp | +3.4% | -0.0% |
| 756 stay away | SONATSOFTWSonata Software Ltd. | 5.9 | 52% | ₹351.55 | -44.0% | -40.5% | -25.8% | 2% | -21.9% | -3.3 pp | -8.7% | -12.1% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over three months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.